Thursday, October 4, 2018

Singapore Medical Group (SingMedical)


I bought 112,000 shares of SingMedical at average price of about 43.71cts per share.

My projected minimum guaranteed yearly net profit of SingMedical going forward (at least 5 years):

(1) Ciputra Eye Indonesia: $60,000.
(2) Astra Women Clinic: $4,615.000.
(3) Cancer Centre: $2,400.000.
(4) Kids Clinic: $2,300.000.
(5) Baby & Children Specialist Clinic: $1,000.000.
(6) Pheniks: $500,000.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total: $10,875,000.

Below might have some contributions going forward:

(1) CHA (Vietnam & Australia market).
(2) Novena Radiology & Lifescan Imaging.
(3) New dental clinics.


What am i buying into SingMedical?

(1) SingMedical aims to be a Medical Disruptor in medical industry, especially in Singapore:
- to provide one stop solution for women & children's segment.
- to bring down the cost since they want to have centralised and owned imaging centres.
- to have tele-medicine platform that both local and patients across the region will use to consult with their specialists throughout their treatment cycle.

(2) They are in the women & children's segment which is one of the biggest market in medical industry.

(3) Most of their doctors/specialists who joined them through acquisition, have some shares in SingMedical.

(4) SingMedical wants to grow through "acquire & grow aggressively" strategy.

(5) They have a wide pool of medical specialists network.

(6) My purchase price of 43.71cts per share, market valution is about 210mil. 
With a minimum guaranteed yearly net profit of $10,875,000, PE is about 19.3X.
1H2018 net profit = $6,827,000. With straight line projection, FY2018 net profit will be $13,6mil, FY2018 PE will be about 15X. Medical industry averagely has PE of above 20X.



Portfolio Value as per October 2018


No.
Counters
No of Shares
Market Price
per Share
(SGD)
Total Value
(SGD)
1
AEM
48,000$0.820$39,360.00
2Best World50,000$1.490$74,500.00
3Centurion50,000$0.435$21,750.00
4Innotek190,000$0.420$79,800.00
5SingMedical112,000$0.455$50,960.00
6
Sunningdale
60,000$1.510$90,600.00
7
Tat Seng
Packaging
50,000$0.670$33,500.00
8
Cash


$11,670.27





TOTAL:$402,140.27


(1) I have skipped to post my portfolio value for the month of August & September as there were not much buying/selling.

(2) Cleared all my Chasen holding, even though the company seems to be good and has prospect to run up, i will just stick to my own stock criteria.

(3) Bought 2 new counters: Centurion at the cost of about 42.75cts per share & Singapore Medical Group at cost of about 43.71cts per share.